Bracket
The knockout bracket as it stands: decided ties show the real score and winner; open ties show each side's head-to-head win odds — the two add to 100% — with the favourite advancing to fill the next round. Hover a projected slot to see the other teams that could land there. Built from 50,000 simulations.
Decided matches show the final score (winner highlighted, P = won on penalties) and the real winner advances. Open matches show the two sides' head-to-head win odds (they add to 100%); there the favourite advances to fill the next round. Grey number = strength seed (Elo rank). Hover or focus a projected slot to see the other teams that could land there; Escape dismisses.
Advancement funnel
Every team's chance of reaching each stage, narrowing toward the champion.
Each column: probability of reaching that round, across 50,000 simulations. Hover or focus a team to trace it through the bracket; Escape clears. Teams below 0.2% in a round are hidden.