Ratings · Elo + goal model + squad value
Team strength
Elo is overall strength from 150 years of results, weighted by match importance and margin. RR Pts is the average points a team would take per game against the full 48-team field. Squad € is total Transfermarkt market value, blended into the projections (trusted more across confederations). Attack / Defense are goals for and against an average opponent; Tilt is the difference.
Attack vs. Defense
★ EliteFree-scoringLow eventLeaky
← weaker attack · stronger attack →↑ better defense · weaker defense ↓
| # | Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | SpainUEFA | 2333 | 2.20 | €1.22bn | 2.15 | 0.63 | +1.52 |
| 02 | ArgentinaCONMEBOL | 2307 | 2.05 | €808m | 1.91 | 0.61 | +1.31 |
| 03 | FranceUEFA | 2216 | 2.09 | €1.52bn | 1.93 | 0.77 | +1.16 |
| 04 | EnglandUEFA | 2177 | 2.03 | €1.36bn | 1.73 | 0.71 | +1.02 |
| 05 | ColombiaCONMEBOL | 2110 | 1.77 | €302m | 1.63 | 0.77 | +0.86 |
| 06 | BrazilCONMEBOL | 2102 | 2.04 | €928m | 2.01 | 0.79 | +1.22 |
| 07 | PortugalUEFA | 2075 | 2.03 | €1.01bn | 1.89 | 0.78 | +1.11 |
| 08 | NetherlandsUEFA | 2070 | 1.93 | €754m | 1.90 | 0.97 | +0.93 |
| 09 | BelgiumUEFA | 2051 | 1.88 | €548m | 1.83 | 0.93 | +0.90 |
| 10 | MoroccoCAF | 2047 | 1.71 | €448m | 1.24 | 0.68 | +0.56 |
| 11 | NorwayUEFA | 2042 | 1.74 | €590m | 1.67 | 1.14 | +0.53 |
| 12 | MexicoCONCACAF | 2036 | 1.45 | €192m | 1.20 | 1.02 | +0.18 |
| 13 | SwitzerlandUEFA | 2029 | 1.68 | €333m | 1.56 | 1.02 | +0.54 |
| 14 | GermanyUEFA | 2002 | 1.95 | €947m | 1.99 | 1.06 | +0.93 |
| 15 | JapanAFC | 1993 | 1.62 | €271m | 1.43 | 0.92 | +0.50 |
| 16 | EcuadorCONMEBOL | 1975 | 1.54 | €369m | 1.03 | 0.75 | +0.27 |
| 17 | CroatiaUEFA | 1961 | 1.65 | €387m | 1.46 | 1.03 | +0.43 |
| 18 | UruguayCONMEBOL | 1940 | 1.59 | €359m | 1.18 | 0.80 | +0.38 |
| 19 | TurkeyUEFA | 1928 | 1.53 | €474m | 1.40 | 1.34 | +0.06 |
| 20 | AustraliaAFC | 1922 | 1.26 | €78m | 1.06 | 1.03 | +0.03 |
| 21 | ParaguayCONMEBOL | 1909 | 1.29 | €154m | 0.94 | 1.01 | -0.08 |
| 22 | AustriaUEFA | 1903 | 1.52 | €245m | 1.35 | 1.08 | +0.27 |
| 23 | IranAFC | 1898 | 1.16 | €32m | 1.13 | 1.12 | +0.01 |
| 24 | SenegalCAF | 1894 | 1.60 | €478m | 1.30 | 1.06 | +0.24 |
| 25 | EgyptCAF | 1870 | 1.26 | €117m | 0.97 | 1.06 | -0.09 |
| 26 | Ivory CoastCAF | 1863 | 1.48 | €522m | 1.01 | 1.02 | -0.01 |
| 27 | AlgeriaCAF | 1860 | 1.49 | €257m | 1.36 | 1.21 | +0.15 |
| 28 | United StatesCONCACAF | 1858 | 1.43 | €386m | 1.20 | 1.37 | -0.16 |
| 29 | South KoreaAFC | 1856 | 1.25 | €139m | 1.08 | 1.27 | -0.19 |
| 30 | CanadaCONCACAF | 1854 | 1.34 | €199m | 1.06 | 1.14 | -0.08 |
| 31 | ScotlandUEFA | 1836 | 1.30 | €170m | 1.11 | 1.25 | -0.15 |
| 32 | DR CongoCAF | 1831 | 1.19 | €144m | 0.81 | 1.09 | -0.29 |
| 33 | SwedenUEFA | 1816 | 1.48 | €409m | 1.42 | 1.44 | -0.02 |
| 34 | PanamaCONCACAF | 1785 | 0.82 | €35m | 0.83 | 1.78 | -0.96 |
| 35 | Czech RepublicUEFA | 1770 | 1.29 | €188m | 1.18 | 1.40 | -0.22 |
| 36 | UzbekistanAFC | 1729 | 1.00 | €85m | 0.81 | 1.46 | -0.65 |
| 37 | JordanAFC | 1722 | 0.79 | €0m | 0.88 | 1.89 | -1.00 |
| 38 | Cape VerdeCAF | 1711 | 0.86 | €0m | 0.74 | 1.52 | -0.77 |
| 39 | Saudi ArabiaAFC | 1708 | 0.83 | €0m | 0.69 | 1.48 | -0.78 |
| 40 | South AfricaCAF | 1701 | 0.94 | €0m | 0.75 | 1.36 | -0.61 |
| 41 | GhanaCAF | 1700 | 0.94 | €0m | 0.79 | 1.41 | -0.62 |
| 42 | Bosnia and HerzegovinaUEFA | 1693 | 0.89 | €0m | 0.82 | 1.57 | -0.75 |
| 43 | HaitiCONCACAF | 1673 | 0.58 | €0m | 0.78 | 2.30 | -1.52 |
| 44 | TunisiaCAF | 1670 | 1.06 | €70m | 0.87 | 1.32 | -0.44 |
| 45 | New ZealandOFC | 1669 | 0.64 | €0m | 0.61 | 1.79 | -1.18 |
| 46 | IraqAFC | 1667 | 0.73 | €0m | 0.66 | 1.64 | -0.98 |
| 47 | CuraçaoCONCACAF | 1602 | 0.38 | €0m | 0.55 | 2.58 | -2.02 |
| 48 | QatarAFC | 1533 | 0.57 | €0m | 0.77 | 2.32 | -1.55 |