12 groups · top 2 + 8 best thirds advance
Group stage
Live standings blended with the model's read on each remaining match. The bar is each team's probability of reaching the knockout rounds.
Group AQualify odds
1
Mexico9 pts
100%
2
South Africa4 pts
100%
3
South Korea3 pts
0%
4
Czech Republic1 pts
0%
Win groupMexico 100%
Group BQualify odds
1
Switzerland7 pts
100%
2
Canada4 pts
100%
3
Bosnia and Herzegovina4 pts
100%
4
Qatar1 pts
0%
Win groupSwitzerland 100%
Group CQualify odds
1
Brazil7 pts
100%
2
Morocco7 pts
100%
3
Scotland3 pts
0%
4
Haiti0 pts
0%
Win groupBrazil 100%
Group DQualify odds
1
United States6 pts
100%
2
Australia4 pts
100%
3
Paraguay4 pts
100%
4
Turkey3 pts
0%
Win groupUnited States 100%
Group EQualify odds
1
Germany6 pts
100%
2
Ivory Coast6 pts
100%
3
Ecuador4 pts
100%
4
Curaçao1 pts
0%
Win groupGermany 100%
Group FQualify odds
1
Netherlands7 pts
100%
2
Japan5 pts
100%
3
Sweden4 pts
100%
4
Tunisia0 pts
0%
Win groupNetherlands 100%
Group GQualify odds
1
Belgium5 pts
100%
2
Egypt5 pts
100%
3
Iran3 pts
0%
4
New Zealand1 pts
0%
Win groupBelgium 100%
Group HQualify odds
1
Spain7 pts
100%
2
Cape Verde3 pts
100%
3
Uruguay2 pts
0%
4
Saudi Arabia2 pts
0%
Win groupSpain 100%
Group IQualify odds
1
France9 pts
100%
2
Norway6 pts
100%
3
Senegal3 pts
100%
4
Iraq0 pts
0%
Win groupFrance 100%
Group JQualify odds
1
Argentina9 pts
100%
2
Austria4 pts
100%
3
Algeria4 pts
100%
4
Jordan0 pts
0%
Win groupArgentina 100%
Group KQualify odds
1
Colombia7 pts
100%
2
Portugal5 pts
100%
3
DR Congo4 pts
100%
4
Uzbekistan0 pts
0%
Win groupColombia 100%
Group LQualify odds
1
England7 pts
100%
2
Croatia6 pts
100%
3
Ghana4 pts
100%
4
Panama0 pts
0%
Win groupEngland 100%